US Financial Weather Report for
Regime
Choppy
Mean reversion dominates trend persistence.
Conditional risk
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P(>1.5% SPY down day) over next 5 sessions.
Risk Appetite
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Trend
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Visibility
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Structure
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Daily market weather narrative
TRADER CONTEXT
Describes market conditions, not investment recommendations.
Last sessions
Signals (normalized)
sessions
Hover a session to see values for selected measures.
Snapshot
Radar (numeric measures)
Values are mapped to a 0–1 radius using fixed demo ranges (Temperature/Wind: -1..+1; others: 0..1).
30-day history
Temperature
Temperature signal (−1 to +1). Bands: Frigid / Cold / Mild / Warm / Hot.
30-day history
Wind
Trend persistence signal (−1 to +1). Bands: Doldrums / Light Air / Variable / Steady Breeze / Gale.
30-day history
Consistency
Internal coherence (0–100%). Bands match the consistency color scale.
30-day history
Breadth
Market participation (−0.5 to +1). Negative values indicate deteriorating breadth.
30-day history
Macro Crosswind
Rates / curve crosswind (−1 to +1). Positive = favorable, negative = adverse.
30-day history
Storm Risk
Volatility pressure (0–1 scale). Dashed lines mark Fragile (0.45) and Squally (0.62) regime boundaries.
30-day history
Conditional Risk
P(>1.5% SPY down day) over next 5 sessions. Dashed lines mark elevated (20%) and high (35%) thresholds.
⚠️
Insufficient Signal History
There is insufficient history for signal computation — the current date is before the model's warmup period of 251 trading days.